We have all seen the Terminator movies: the rise of the machines is on the way, and we have to be ready!
Still, most mechanistic dystopian fiction tends to leave out one of the scariest parts of any future involving robots, which is whether or not our jobs will be safe. Willrobotstakemyjob.com is a website that uses a “novel methodology” to work out which sectors will be most at risk, providing an “automation risk level” and a percentage possibility that jobs within each sector will become automated.
“In 2013 Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael A. Osborne published a report titled "The Future of Employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?,” reads the website. “The authors examine how susceptible jobs are to computerisation, by implementing a novel methodology to estimate the probability of computerisation for 702 detailed occupations, using a Gaussian process classifier.
“According to their estimates, about 47 percent of total US employment is at risk. Although the report is specific to the US job market, it is easy to see how this might apply all over the world.
“We extracted the jobs and the probability of automation from the report and have made it easy to search for your job. We’ve added some additional information from the Bureau of Labor Statistics to provide some additional information about the jobs.”
Which jobs are at risk, then? We at Wisetradesmen.com decided to investigate which tradesmen might have to contend with computerised competition in the future.
- Electricians - 15%
It seems that sparkies will be relatively safe from robot powered downsizing, with an automation risk level of “no worries”. It makes sense if you think about it: how scary would it be if we started letting robots repair themselves?
- Carpenters - 72%
For chippies, it’s a different story. Their automation risk level is at 72%: “The robots are watching.”
Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers - 95%
According to the website, landscaping and groundskeeping workers do not have many skills which couldn’t be handled by a robot. The listed “tasks” include “sod laying, mowing, trimming, planting, watering, fertilizing, digging, raking, sprinkler installation, and installation of mortarless segmental concrete masonry wall units”.
- Plumbers, pipefitters and steamfitters - 35%
Unfortunately, it looks like plumbers will need to “start worrying”. It seems that robots could soon be suitable for any work requiring them to “assemble, install, alter, and repair pipelines or pipe systems that carry water, steam, air, or other liquids or gases.”
- Locksmiths and Safe Repairers - 77%
It looks like locksmiths could be facing competition soon for jobs requiring someone to “repair and open locks; make keys; change locks and safe combinations; and install and repair safes.”
A lot of security is smart these days: it’s even possible to connect to your home security through your smartphone. Still, the idea that robots could be used to make and break through traditional locks is a scary thought indeed!